Boston Univ
W-L: (12-20) PR = 92.5560Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 55-65 1107 H Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 50-52 1111 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 61-57 1115 A New Haven NE N ( 4-17, 90.4) 65-58 1119 H Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 54-57 1122 A UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 50-47 1126 H Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 56-83 1201 H Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 45-54 1207 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 40-82 1213 H UAlbany AE (12-17, 93.0) 46-62 1220 A ME-FK **-32 1231 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 64-77 103 H American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 45-53 107 H Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 64-65 110 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 57-64 114 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 68-64 114 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 68-64 117 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 55-56 121 A Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 66-55 124 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 58-54 128 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 47-57 131 H Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 51-62 202 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 46-60 207 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 40-49 211 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 62-69 214 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 68-54 218 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 77-70 221 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 61-76 228 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 79-76 304 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 58-64 307 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 69-58 309 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 66-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Quinnipiac 55-65 -10 -2 -0.22
1107 H Dartmouth 50-52 -2 0 - -2.06
1111 A Northeastern 61-57 4 0 1.55
1115 A New Haven 65-58 7 2 0.00
1119 H Brown 54-57 -3 -2 -0.42
1122 A UMass Lowell 50-47 3 1 1.22
1126 H Bryant 56-83 -27 -1 -1.03
1201 H Maine 45-54 -9 -1 -0.50
1207 H No Carolina 40-82 -42 -5 0.00
1213 H UAlbany 46-62 -16 0 -1.56
1231 H Navy 64-77 -13 -2 -0.49
103 H American 45-53 -8 1 - -2.54
107 H Lafayette 64-65 -1 0 -1.04
110 H Army 57-64 -7 -2 -0.13
114 A Lehigh 68-64 4 -1 + 2.86
114 A Lehigh 68-64 4 -1 + 2.86
117 H Loyola-MD 55-56 -1 0 -0.80
121 A Lafayette 66-55 11 0 1.98
124 A Colgate 58-54 4 1 1.32
128 H Navy 47-57 -10 -2 -0.49
131 H Bucknell 51-62 -11 0 - -2.16
202 H Holy Cross 46-60 -14 -2 -0.47
207 H Loyola-MD 40-49 -9 0 -1.80
211 H Army 62-69 -7 -2 -0.13
214 A Bucknell 68-54 14 0 1.86
218 A Colgate 77-70 7 1 1.32
221 H Lehigh 61-76 -15 -1 -1.16
228 A American 79-76 3 1 1.48
304 H Holy Cross 58-64 -6 -2 -0.47
307 A American 69-58 11 1 1.48
309 H Navy 66-76 -10 -2 -0.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Dartmouth 50-52 -2 0 - -2.06 103 H American 45-53 -8 1 - -2.54 131 H Bucknell 51-62 -11 0 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 114 A Lehigh 68-64 4 -1 + 2.86 114 A Lehigh 68-64 4 -1 + 2.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 55-65 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 0.98 -2.72
3 H Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 50-52 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 0.98 -3.62
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 61-57 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.98 6.21
3 A New Haven ( 4-17, 90.4) 65-58 -9.51 1.45 0.01 0.98 2.87
3 H Brown (14-11, 94.1) 54-57 -5.76 5.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.82
3 A UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 50-47 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.98 5.55
3 H Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 56-83 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 0.98 -3.12
3 H Maine (18-13, 94.1) 45-54 -5.84 5.12 -0.01 0.98 -2.86
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 40-82 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.98 -1.22
3 H UAlbany (12-17, 93.0) 46-62 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 0.98 -3.38
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 64-77 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.85
3 H American ( 7-24, 92.0) 45-53 -7.88 3.08 -0.01 0.98 -3.86
3 H Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 64-65 -7.37 3.59 -0.01 0.98 -3.61
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 57-64 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.68
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 68-64 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.98 8.77
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 68-64 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.98 8.77
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 55-56 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 0.98 -3.49
3 A Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 66-55 -7.37 3.59 0.01 0.98 7.04
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 58-54 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.98 5.75
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 47-57 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.85
3 H Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 51-62 -7.49 3.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.67
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 46-60 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 40-49 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 0.98 -3.49
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 62-69 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.68
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 68-54 -7.49 3.47 0.01 0.98 6.81
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 77-70 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.98 5.75
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 61-76 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.18
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 79-76 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.98 6.06
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 58-64 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 69-58 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.98 6.06
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 66-76 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.85
------
8.95
|
winning pts = 69.6319 losing points = -60.6780
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------